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The future of the retail industry workforce — challenges, opportunities, and trends

The future of the retail industry workforce
Zahara
Zahara SayedFuture work expert6. December 20238 min read

Table of contents

  1. Snapshots of the retail industry workforce 
  2. Global retail sales surge: A $31.7 trillion projection by 2025
  3. Turnover troubles: Addressing the 60.5% turnover rate in retail
  4. M-commerce dominance: With a 69.9% share in global retail e-commerce sales
  5. Cybersecurity challenges in retail: a sobering 24% targeted attacks
  6. Aspirations for higher pay: 73% of retail workers seek new job opportunities that offer improved compensation
  7. Retail automation revolution: $32.60 billion market anticipation by 2028
  8. Strategic recruitment: The challenges of 70% unfulfilled job openings
  9. Tech job surge: 37% increase in advanced technology jobs in the retail sector
  10. Structural labor market churn: Preparing for a 23% shift in retail jobs
  11. The global imperative: A 90% workforce training requirement by 2030 across industries

Snapshots of the retail industry workforce

The contemporary retail industry finds itself entangled in a peculiar problem — a surplus of job openings overshadowing the availability of qualified personnel. A report by CNBC in 2022 sheds light on the magnitude of this challenge, revealing an excess of 5.5 million retail job vacancies in stark contrast to the number of prospective candidates. The rising global labor costs are reshaping the business landscape, with a focus on finding skilled and competent workers.

Notably, Australia grapples with over 40,000 job vacancies in the retail trade sector, prompting unprecedented measures such as advocating for the employment of youngsters as young as 13 to address the labor shortage.

The following content explores crucial insights influencing the retail workforce, ranging from the projection of global sales to the burgeoning realm of retail automation.

Global retail sales surge: A $31.7 trillion projection by 2025

Source: Latentview

The expected surge in global retail sales to $31.7 trillion by 2025 presents a dual challenge and opportunity for large-scale retailers. This substantial growth represents a tremendous opportunity and poses a dual challenge for the retail workforce.

The challenge:

Inherent in the surge of retail sales is an increase in customer demand, urging retailers to adapt swiftly and efficiently. Meeting these heightened customer expectations while upholding operational excellence poses a challenge for major retailers. The growing demand calls for an agile and significantly expanded workforce to manage the surge in consumer activities.

The opportunity:

In the face of this challenge, there lies a significant opportunity for retailers to capitalize on the burgeoning market. Large-scale retailers should leverage this growth potential to solidify their market presence and capitalize on a broader customer base. Strategic HR initiatives become paramount to navigating this landscape successfully. For example:

  • Adopting predictive hiring models. By leveraging data analytics, retailers can anticipate demand trends with a higher degree of accuracy. Analyzing historical sales data, understanding seasonal patterns, and predicting future consumer behaviors are integral. Proactively building a workforce aligned with the expected demand prevents understaffing or overstaffing scenarios.
  • Implementing robust training programs. With an expanding workforce, ensuring each member is well-equipped with the necessary skills to enhance the shopping experience becomes imperative. Training initiatives should extend beyond basic operational skills and encompass product knowledge, customer service excellence, and the ability to adapt to dynamic consumer preferences.
  • Enhancing the shopping experience. A knowledgeable and customer-focused workforce contributes significantly to customer satisfaction and loyalty. HR should design training modules that address current market trends and anticipate future shifts in consumer behavior.

Turnover troubles: Addressing the 60.5% turnover rate in retail

Source: Leftronic

A turnover rate of 60.5% is alarming and underscores the need for major retailers to address the root causes leading to employee departures. High turnover rates can result in increased expenses associated with recruitment, training, and onboarding, negatively affecting the bottom line. A consistently changing workforce can also impact team cohesion, customer service quality, and organizational performance.

To effectively tackle the challenge of high turnover, HR strategies for major retailers should focus on:

  • Creating a positive work environment. HR leaders should assess and improve working conditions, ensuring employees feel supported, valued, and engaged. Initiatives such as employee recognition programs, wellness initiatives, and open communication channels contribute to a positive workplace culture, reducing dissatisfaction and turnover.
  • Offering career advancement opportunities. Retailers should invest in professional development programs, training initiatives, and mentorship opportunities that empower employees to grow within the organization. Clearly defined career paths, skill development programs, and progression opportunities contribute to higher employee satisfaction and reduced turnover.

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  • Implementing employee retention programs. Strategic employee retention programs can include competitive compensation packages, performance-based incentives, and benefits that prioritize employee well-being. By offering comprehensive retention incentives, retailers can demonstrate their commitment to employee welfare and create a compelling case for long-term employment.
  • Addressing root causes of turnover. To effectively address the root causes of turnover, HR leaders should conduct thorough assessments of working conditions, growth prospects, and other factors influencing employee dissatisfaction. Surveys, feedback mechanisms, and exit interviews can provide valuable insights into the reasons behind turnover, enabling retailers to implement targeted interventions and improvements.

M-commerce dominance: With a 69.9% share in global retail e-commerce sales

Source: Latentview

The projected dominance of mobile commerce (m-commerce) in global retail e-commerce, accounting for an impressive 69.9% share, marks a significant paradigm shift in consumer behavior. Understanding and effectively responding to this shift requires strategic HR initiatives tailored to the demands of the growing retail landscape, which include:

  • Recruitment of tech-savvy individuals. To address the impact of m-commerce dominance on the retail workforce, HR should prioritize recruiting tech-savvy individuals who deeply understand mobile commerce platforms, enabling retailers to stay at the forefront of technological advancements.
  • Training programs for mobile expertise. Training should encompass various aspects, including understanding mobile transactions, leveraging personalized marketing through mobile apps, and mastering customer engagement via mobile channels.
  • Personalized marketing via mobile apps. HR strategies should focus on cultivating a workforce capable of developing and implementing targeted marketing strategies that resonate with mobile users. Training programs should cover aspects of mobile app analytics, user behavior analysis, and personalized content creation to enhance the effectiveness of marketing efforts.

Cybersecurity challenges in retail: A sobering 24% targeted attacks

Source: OnlineDasher

The prevailing cybersecurity challenges in the retail sector, marked by a sobering 24% of targeted attacks, demand strategic initiatives to foster a vigilant and resilient workforce capable of safeguarding sensitive customer data and mitigating potential threats effectively which include:

  • Prioritization of cybersecurity training. HR specialists should prioritize comprehensive cybersecurity training programs to equip employees with the knowledge and skills to effectively recognize and respond to cyber threats. Employees become integral to the organization’s defense against potential attacks by fostering a deep understanding of cybersecurity principles.
  • Secure data handling practices. HR initiatives should instill secure data handling practices among employees to minimize vulnerabilities associated with data breaches. This involves educating the workforce on properly storing, transmitting, and disposing of sensitive information.
  • Proactive threat mitigation. HR leaders should involve creating awareness about common attack vectors, implementing secure browsing practices, and encouraging employees to report suspicious activities promptly.
  • Creating a cybersecurity-aware culture. Regular awareness campaigns, updates on emerging threats, and continuous training sessions contribute to creating a workforce that understands the collective role of maintaining a secure digital environment.

Aspirations for higher pay: 73% of retail workers seek new job opportunities that offer improved compensation

Source: Retailwire

The growing concern about compensation within the retail industry challenges calls for addressing these aspirations and ensuring a motivated and engaged workforce. HR leaders should encompass various key elements that respond to the aspirations for higher pay. These include:

Regular salary reviews. Regular salary reviews are crucial for staying attuned to market trends and ensuring that compensation remains competitive. Major retailers should comprehensively evaluate existing salary structures, considering industry benchmarks and regional variations.

Benchmarking against industry standards. Comparing compensation structures with industry peers helps identify areas for improvement and ensures that the organization remains competitive in attracting and retaining top talent.

Implementation of incentive programs. Incentive programs are pivotal in addressing employee aspirations for higher pay and can include bonuses, profit-sharing arrangements, or recognition initiatives that directly tie compensation to individual and team achievements.

Recognizing and rewarding employee contributions. Appreciating and rewarding employee contributions initiatives can include employee of the month awards, recognition ceremonies, or personalized appreciation for outstanding performance.

Retail automation revolution: $32.60 billion market anticipation by 2028

Source: Mordor Intelligence

As the retail industry embraces automation on an unprecedented scale, the traditional operational processes are undergoing a profound transformation. Integrating advanced automation technologies implies a departure from conventional methods, introducing efficiency, speed, and precision into various facets of retail operations. From inventory management to customer service, the automation revolution is poised to redefine how retailers operate in the coming years.

Rather than viewing automation as a threat, HR leaders should perceive it as an opportunity to enhance employee capabilities and elevate the overall efficiency of operations.

Enhance employee capabilities with:

  • Reskilling programs. As automation takes over routine and repetitive tasks, employees should adapt by acquiring new skills that complement and augment automated systems. Reskilling initiatives should encompass a broad spectrum, from technical proficiency to higher-order cognitive skills.
  • Collaborative training modules. Collaborative training modules are essential to foster a workforce that seamlessly integrates with advanced automation technologies. These modules should blend technical expertise with human-centric skills, emphasizing the collaborative partnership between employees and automated systems.
  • Human-centric skills. While technical proficiency is crucial, HR initiatives should recognize the significance of human-centric skills. Emphasizing creativity, critical thinking, and emotional intelligence becomes imperative. These skills distinguish human workers by their ability to handle complex problem-solving, creativity in decision-making, and empathetic interactions with customers.
  • Employee engagement and inclusivity. Effective communication throughout the transition is vital for employee engagement. HR should actively involve employees in the process, addressing concerns and fostering a sense of inclusivity. Open dialogue channels and feedback mechanisms create a collaborative atmosphere, ensuring the workforce feels valued and involved in the ongoing changes.

Strategic recruitment: The challenges of 70% unfulfilled job openings

Source: Retailwire

The prevalence of unfilled job openings, accounting for 70% of businesses associated with Retail and Wholesale of Consumer Goods in 2023, highlights the necessity for adept recruitment strategies. Unaddressed vacancies can result in heightened workloads for current employees, compromise the quality of customer service, and restrict the organization’s capacity to seize market opportunities.

HR strategies should proactively tackle the challenge of unfilled job openings, aiming for recruitment success through various initiatives. These include:

Forecasting future skills. To stay ahead of evolving job requirements, HR professionals can adopt forward-thinking strategies by forecasting future skills that will be in demand. By identifying emerging skill sets, retailers can align their recruitment efforts with the evolving needs of the industry.

Strategic workforce planning with HRForecast: Design your future workforce

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Streamlined onboarding processes. Clear communication, comprehensive training programs, and mentorship opportunities contribute to faster integration and increased job satisfaction, reducing the likelihood of turnover.

Creating a talent pipeline. Developing a talent pipeline involves consistently identifying and nurturing potential candidates, even before specific job openings arise. Retailers can implement proactive talent acquisition strategies, such as maintaining a database of promising candidates, engaging in continuous networking, and leveraging employee referrals.

Tech job surge: 37% increase in advanced technology jobs in the retail sector

Source: WEF

Major retailers should recognize that technology is not just a support function but a core component influencing various aspects of operations, customer experience, and overall competitiveness. This surge demands a recalibration of the workforce to align key initiatives tailored to attract, retain, and empower tech talent.

Attracting tech talent. To proactively attract talent, HR leaders should revamp recruitment strategies to target individuals with expertise in emerging technologies, software development, data analytics, artificial intelligence, and other relevant fields.

Fostering innovation. Establishing channels for idea generation, collaboration, and cross-functional innovation teams can harness the collective creativity of the workforce. Recognizing and rewarding innovative contributions further incentivizes employees to contribute to the technological evolution of the retail business actively.

Structural labor market churn: Preparing for a 23% shift in retail jobs

Source: WEF

Structural labor market churn implies fundamentally reshaping job roles within the retail sector. Major retailers need to acknowledge that this shift is not merely cyclical but represents a transformative phase driven by various factors such as technological advancements, changing consumer behaviors, and industry trends. It demands comprehensive initiatives focusing on upskilling the existing workforce and engaging in proactive recruitment. These include:

Upskilling programs for existing workforce. Retailers should invest in upskilling programs to equip their current workforce with the skills needed for the future. This involves identifying emerging skill sets, conducting skills assessments, and designing training modules that empower employees to meet the requirements of new roles. HR initiatives should foster a culture of continuous learning, encouraging employees to engage in upskilling opportunities proactively.

Proactive recruitment and talent acquisition. Retailers should adopt a proactive approach to recruitment and talent acquisition to fill emerging roles effectively. This involves forecasting future skills requirements, identifying talent gaps, and actively seeking candidates with the necessary skills.

Agile workforce planning. Anticipating the structural labor market churn requires retailers to adopt agile workforce planning practices. This involves regularly assessing the external environment, staying abreast of industry trends, and adjusting HR strategies accordingly.

The global imperative: A 90% workforce training requirement by 2030 across industries

Source: Lexology

The need for workforce reskilling is becoming increasingly vital to navigate disruptive technological advancements and evolving market demands. As automation and digitalization become integral components across various sectors, employees should adapt to stay relevant and contribute effectively to sustained growth.

Addressing the reskilling imperative requires robust training programs encompassing technical and soft skills. In a technology-driven environment, proficiency in technological literacy, data analysis, and digital tools is crucial. Additionally, cultivating abilities related to adaptability, critical thinking, and effective communication empowers the workforce to navigate dynamic challenges in the evolving landscape of various industries.

Our consultants are here to get you started with a more personalized approach tailored to retail-specific workforce challenges or to prepare your workforce in any industry.

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